Polymarket Trader

obsobs

0xd6c75ff79f8b27d7763f8f6c37d036909d985f67

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $173.41
Realized PnL: $170.87
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $11.19
Potential payout: $533.04
Potential profit: $521.85
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$8.81

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $16.91
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $130.15
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$8.09

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $5.55
Potential payout: $91.74
Potential profit: $86.19
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$4.45

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $19.17
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $64.17
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $15.85
Potential payout: $72.2
Potential profit: $56.35
Multiplier: 4.56x
User PnL: -$4.15

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.2%
Current value: $21.21
Potential payout: $62.11
Potential profit: $40.9
Multiplier: 2.93x
User PnL: $11.21

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $7.21
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $51.62
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$2.79

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $41.32
Potential payout: $46.69
Potential profit: $5.37
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $11.32

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $9.31
Potential payout: $45.43
Potential profit: $36.12
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.07
Potential profit: $41.07
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $25.69
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $8.79
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $5.69

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$10

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $12.05
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75.81

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $19.44

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.45

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.52

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $9.67

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.14

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

Yes position

Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.33

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$15.94

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.68

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 17% 147.06 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 59% 33.33 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 30% 33.33 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 90% 66.66 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 58% 34.48 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 24% 83.33 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 22% 45.43 shares
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 3.8% 533.04 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 97.5% 24.05 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 14% 28.98 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 69% 28.99 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 30% 66.67 shares