No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $6.7K
- Potential payout
- $6.72K
- Potential profit
- $23.53
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Polymarket Trader
riskofnorisk
0xd6ce651998b7a30ff3384e5a01feab8a2da00772
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.45K
- Realized PnL
- $134.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $540
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.46K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.48K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $21.25
- User PnL
- $153.75
No position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.46K
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $9.87
- User PnL
- $37
No position
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $118.55
- Potential payout
- $118.79
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $89.54
- Potential payout
- $90.81
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $71.14
- Potential payout
- $72.52
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Wizards position
Bucks vs. Wizards
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.61K
Wizards position
Hawks vs. Wizards
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53K
Bruins position
Bruins vs. Islanders
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82K
Stars position
Kraken vs. Stars
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71K
Patriots position
Jets vs. Patriots
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45K
Lakers position
Jazz vs. Lakers
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43K
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27K
Packers position
Bengals vs. Packers
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27K
LAR position
LAR vs. Cardinals
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25K
Under position
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23K
Under position
Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 51.5
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21K
Over position
Broncos vs. Raiders: O/U 40.5
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2K
Celtics position
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2K
76ers position
Wizards vs. 76ers
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17K
Seahawks position
Vikings vs. Seahawks
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17K
Broncos position
Giants vs. Broncos
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15K
Chiefs position
Raiders vs. Chiefs
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13K
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Pacers
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12K
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Wizards
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12K
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Wizards
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1K
Chiefs position
Commanders vs. Chiefs
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08K
Broncos position
Broncos vs. Raiders
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08K
Hurricanes position
Jets vs. Hurricanes
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07K
Lions position
Buccaneers vs. Lions
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?Yes 95.8% 90.81 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?No 98.6% 118.79 shares
- Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?No 96.1% 72.52 shares
- Will Comey smile in his mugshot?No 99.2% 50 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.2% 5,000 shares
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Under 49% 950 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 81% 8,000.05 shares
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Timberwolves 47% 4,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?No 99.4% 165.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?No 99.3% 31.3 shares
- NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Suns vs. ThunderThunder 99.3% 2,104.58 shares
- NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail BlazersSpurs 80.8% 2,500.31 shares