Polymarket Trader

juisloa

0xd6ddc6559313bcc819f1df1b3647f3930da998ee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.35K
Realized PnL: $41.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $3.76K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$871.2

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.44K
Potential payout: $3.44K
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: $409.98

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.29K
Potential profit: $3.29K
User PnL: -$386.37

No position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $502.7

Yes position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.47K
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$372.44

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.97K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.75

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.8K
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $1.4
User PnL: $856.78

Yes position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$252.24

Yes position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $824.6
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$82.65

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $954.26
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $898.67
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $103.13

No position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $879.87
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $586.58
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $222.42

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $528.83
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $844.75
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $52.33

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $876.44
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $493
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $116.52

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $768.55
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $482.14
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$18.1

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 45.2%
Current value: $487.22
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $591.89
Multiplier: 2.21x
User PnL: $335.47

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $47.9
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$78.74

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $18.09
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $88.89

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 54.9%
Current value: $510.9
Potential payout: $931.45
Potential profit: $420.55
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$285.99

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $32.02
Potential payout: $703.77
Potential profit: $671.75
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$111.49

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $277.25
Potential payout: $693.12
Potential profit: $415.87
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$146.71

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $71.11
Potential payout: $683.74
Potential profit: $612.63
Multiplier: 9.62x
User PnL: -$268.65

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600.09
Potential profit: $600.09
User PnL: -$318.78

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $429
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $171
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $250.16

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $336.29
Potential payout: $551.3
Potential profit: $215.01
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $178.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

No position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

No position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Yes position

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

SPARTA position

Counter-Strike: Betera Esports vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

No position

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will the fight end in Round 6?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 43% 39.36 shares
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

No 60.9% 300 shares
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

No 60% 39.35 shares
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Yes 37% 47.76 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 63% 47.78 shares
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Yes 37% 47.75 shares
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

No 63.1% 270 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 52.8% 20 shares
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

No 90% 125.2 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 10% 125.15 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 66.8% 150.15 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 70.3% 24.76 shares