Polymarket Trader

xplWhale

0xd6e23df4ddad95b3ca48c5913138c10b2316450b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.5K
Realized PnL: $18.66K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.58K
Potential profit: $12.58K
User PnL: -$5.29K

No position

USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$5.09K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.37K
Potential profit: $5.37K
User PnL: -$2.27K

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.5K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $895.64

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$77.43

No position

USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$259.46

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$66

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.43
Potential profit: $240.43
User PnL: -$40.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.1K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21K

Yes position

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $89.24

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.55K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 71% 1,000 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 77% 359.01 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Yes 20% 634.79 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Yes 1.8% 100 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 85% 5,000 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 88% 5,000 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 87% 1,020 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 86% 49.99 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 87% 10,000 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 88% 10,000 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 85% 6,000 shares
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

No 11.2% 1,700 shares