Polymarket Trader

GordoFray

0xd6f43a6088e593e6e4a1d7f1dbce4b0c0de00545

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.45
Realized PnL: $121.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.25
Potential profit: $44.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $34.84
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.47
Potential profit: $32.47
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.13
Potential profit: $28.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.7
Potential profit: $27.7
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.69
Potential profit: $18.69
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.38
Potential profit: $18.38
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 24?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $9.05
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 11?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 24?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $6.45
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.66

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.81

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 11?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

No position

US x Russia military clash by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will EA say "EA Sports FC" during earnings call?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23?

No 39% 45.45 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 23?

Yes 23% 21.74 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23?

No 11% 45.45 shares
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 1?

Yes 30% 3.9 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 1?

Yes 37% 3.9 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 1?

Yes 36% 15 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 1?

Yes 36% 15 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 1?

Yes 40% 15 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 25?

Yes 62% 1.61 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 25?

Yes 26% 7.69 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 25?

No 18% 11.11 shares