Polymarket Trader

OrangeApple

0xd6f4aefc31ef1f9da0bd52ca00c8a57244c3ef6a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.83K
Realized PnL: $9.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $615
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $29.39K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$165

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $2.74K
Potential payout: $26.75K
Potential profit: $24K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$42.26

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $115
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.89K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$20.4

Yes position

Will Antonio Nusa win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $10.11
Potential payout: $594.44
Potential profit: $584.33
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$24.74

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $132
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $268
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $191
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $86.47
Potential payout: $194.31
Potential profit: $107.84
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $14.57

Yes position

Harry Kane: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$50

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.1%
Current value: $81.09
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $18.9
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.9

Over position

Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $84.75
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $38.14
Potential payout: $67.52
Potential profit: $29.38
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$1.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

No position

Arne Slot out as Liverpool Manager in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $985.84

No position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $647.05

Yes position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.94

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $490.91

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $482.35

No position

Will Manchester United beat Grimsby Town F.C?

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $478

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $444.5

Yes position

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.85

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $358.6

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350

No position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.42

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.07

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $309.2

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.42

Yes position

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.58

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240

Yes position

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.77

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.17

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

Yes position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.8% 3,916.19 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.8% 10,000 shares
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score

Yes 60% 83.33 shares
Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5

Over 59% 84.75 shares
Harry Kane: 2+ goals

Yes 28% 178.57 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 88% 95 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 87% 5 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 19% 100 shares
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 1.9% 307 shares
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

No 85% 274.77 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 95.1% 1,373.93 shares
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

No 70.4% 274.78 shares