Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.59K
- Potential profit
- $20.59K
- User PnL
- -$384.69
Polymarket Trader
rgsh81
0xd706807a87696333af277be68d4c75e59ad3fac2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $816.29
- Realized PnL
- $5.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.48K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- User PnL
- -$2.08K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$140
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$228
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$778.26
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $981.78
- Potential profit
- $981.78
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Google be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $830.27
- Potential profit
- $830.27
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $585.27
- Potential profit
- $585.27
- User PnL
- -$310
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $69.54
- Potential payout
- $556.29
- Potential profit
- $486.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$87.76
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $457.69
- Potential profit
- $457.69
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $428
- Potential profit
- $428
- User PnL
- -$21.4
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $16.43
- Potential payout
- $405.68
- Potential profit
- $389.25
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$60.97
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.3%
- Current value
- $270.66
- Potential payout
- $350.37
- Potential profit
- $79.71
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $210.39
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $341.03
- Potential profit
- $341.03
- User PnL
- -$304.91
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $172.67
- Potential payout
- $209.3
- Potential profit
- $36.63
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$7.33
Yes position
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 2%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.4
- Potential profit
- $197.4
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $192.31
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $184.98
- Potential payout
- $184.98
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $21.53
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $34.56
- Potential payout
- $167.35
- Potential profit
- $132.79
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$15.44
Yes position
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $51.51
- Potential payout
- $121.19
- Potential profit
- $69.69
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$10.49
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $15.94
- Potential payout
- $114.29
- Potential profit
- $98.34
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.66
- Potential profit
- $112.66
- User PnL
- -$16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $969.49
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $748.47
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639.43
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $579.34
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434.25
No position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.56
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.64
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.16
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.04
Yes position
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.91
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.37
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.52
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.03
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.27
Yes position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.97
Yes position
Trump x Xi talk before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.97
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.85
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.36
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.86
Yes position
Circle IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.1
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 41.1% 1,051.08 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?No 66.5% 237.84 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?Yes 97.7% 21.73 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 30.8% 22.08 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 19% 402.11 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 53% 566.04 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 10.2% 981.78 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 52% 19.23 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes 46.6% 10.73 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No 77% 12.99 shares
- S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?No 16.6% 60.42 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 92.2% 10.85 shares