Polymarket Trader

dushen945

0xd731616266449998445992fbe96f750b977a4199

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $367.99
Realized PnL: $594.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $10.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $189.1
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $164.27
Potential payout: $165.68
Potential profit: $1.41
User PnL: $2.51

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.52
Potential profit: $142.52
User PnL: -$120.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.81
Potential profit: $122.81
User PnL: -$2.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$70.9

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $7.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.35
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $19.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.65
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $10.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.45
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $14.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $85.15
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $13.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $86.15
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$7.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.99
Potential profit: $89.99
User PnL: -$4.4

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.92
Potential profit: $89.92
User PnL: -$82.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $84.75
User PnL: -$19.09

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $76.94
Potential payout: $80.61
Potential profit: $3.67
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$1.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.27
Potential profit: $68.27
User PnL: -$60.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$11.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$6.2

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $48.38
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $1.63
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$42.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$45.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or higher on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.91

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or higher on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.9

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C or higher on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C or higher on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or higher on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C or higher on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 25?

No 98.1% 90.68 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 25?

No 97.9% 40.61 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 25?

No 97% 10 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 25?

No 98% 30 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?

Yes 12% 6 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 24?

No 99.4% 7.5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?

Yes 37.2% 10 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?

Yes 7% 30 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?

Yes 7% 20 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 24?

Yes 90.6% 78.73 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?

Yes 7% 50 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 24?

Yes 90.4% 28.42 shares