Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462.43K
Polymarket Trader
Fernandoinfante
0xd7375270e4769d3cc31885773070a5f12d5bbe95
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $489.9K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.58K
Kings position
Warriors vs. Kings
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.29K
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $896.77
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $836.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462.43K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.58K
Kings position
Warriors vs. Kings
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.29K
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $896.77
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $836.67
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $733
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.24
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.33
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $20.21
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $2.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 1AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$5.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$17.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$61.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Yes 0.1% 116,608.1 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 20% 210.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes 6% 10,025.6 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 3.6% 31,287.68 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 1.3% 148,855.75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 2.1% 68,260.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 0.9% 167,928.6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 1% 36,534.52 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 1.8% 35,713.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 2.5% 43,780.44 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 4.9% 31,287.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Yes 1.4% 36,932.8 shares