No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.13K
- Potential profit
- $17.13K
- User PnL
- -$99.91
Polymarket Trader
gz403
0xd74b6c55c9e9ce22d5dcebd8fc08d70b685b00af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $42.01
- Realized PnL
- -$1.82
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $42.01
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$45.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.84
- Potential profit
- $24.84
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 20% 23.8 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 3.7% 2,400.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown 11% 45.35 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp 55% 14.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp 34% 14.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETDown 20% 24.84 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?Yes 0.2% 1,365.35 shares
- US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?Yes 0.3% 841.66 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 6?Up 98.5% 15.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETUp 49% 5.66 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?Yes 0.4% 1,365.36 shares