No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3.69K
- Potential payout
- $4.08K
- Potential profit
- $387.52
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$100.97
Polymarket Trader
fantastic55
0xd75af87133fc14de68cd83a9e8c5d999fa49fdec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9K
- Realized PnL
- $19.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.87K
- Potential payout
- $3.32K
- Potential profit
- $447.75
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $609.92
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$154.95
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- User PnL
- -$237.64
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$273.68
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$443.5
Yes position
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$881.62
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$182.15
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $533.31
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $522.75
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $970.84
- Potential profit
- $970.84
- User PnL
- -$63.2
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $13.22
- Potential payout
- $911.9
- Potential profit
- $898.68
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$153.13
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $810.61
- Potential payout
- $857.79
- Potential profit
- $47.18
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$4.29
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $712.36
- Potential profit
- $712.36
- User PnL
- -$78.36
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $676.18
- Potential payout
- $676.52
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- User PnL
- $293.81
No position
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $632.39
- Potential profit
- $632.39
- User PnL
- -$449
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $578.58
- Potential profit
- $578.58
- User PnL
- -$46.77
Y
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $38.89
- Potential payout
- $555.5
- Potential profit
- $516.62
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$83.32
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $486.34
- Potential profit
- $486.34
- User PnL
- -$67.71
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $323.5
- Potential profit
- $323.5
- User PnL
- -$93.82
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $273.09
- Potential payout
- $288.22
- Potential profit
- $15.13
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $236.91
- Potential profit
- $236.55
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$40.87
Y
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $32.39
- Potential payout
- $231.37
- Potential profit
- $198.98
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$30.75
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $63.3
- Potential payout
- $222.2
- Potential profit
- $158.9
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$3.36
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $213.9
- Potential profit
- $213.9
- User PnL
- -$50.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $912.24
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $726.33
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $709.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696.79
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $665.26
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.39
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $489.13
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 11?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.5
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.81
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.2
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.66
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.5
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.22
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.62
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.11
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.51
No position
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.53
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.61
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.9
Yes position
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 265.45 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 94.8% 22.77 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.4% 0.64 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 346.71 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 166.66 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 127.27 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 7.1 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 25.14 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.4% 0.15 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 96.1% 6.4 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 6.07 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 34.01 shares