No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$110.25
Polymarket Trader
SyrianRebble
0xd76a18e2517d980745c5328c90a1208d82fd79ac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $258
- Realized PnL
- $6.68K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $115.5
- Potential payout
- $699.99
- Potential profit
- $584.5
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$227.5
Yes position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $96
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $504
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$102
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $46.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $253.5
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$56.7
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.36
- Potential profit
- $142.36
- User PnL
- -$40
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81K
Yes position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.92
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.36
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.99
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.17
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.4
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.94
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.16
Yes position
Will Israel annex West Bank territory in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Yes position
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Yes 28.1% 142.36 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?No 73.9% 100 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?No 19.9% 1,004.45 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Yes 2% 90 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 1.1% 477.8 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 1.9% 1,168.36 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes 65% 5 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes 65% 10.4 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes 66% 30 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes 59.1% 507.92 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes 52% 19.16 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes 53% 30 shares