Polymarket Trader

0xd77293b1d9CaCeB4D2cD1c6fBa8E4F879c866451-1769504799678

0xd77293b1d9caceb4d2cd1c6fba8e4f879c866451

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $178.79
Realized PnL: $129.49
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $103.65
Potential payout: $316.48
Potential profit: $212.83
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $44.65

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $167.13
Potential profit: $166.55
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$19.42

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $128.28
Potential profit: $123.28
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $19.38
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $105.63
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $22.22
Potential payout: $119.76
Potential profit: $97.54
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $72.63
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$18.56

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.4
Potential profit: $60.4
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $10.74
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $48.09
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$9.26

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.47
Potential profit: $51.47
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.3%
Current value: $15.78
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $23.43
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: -$4.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $180.41

Los Ratones position

LoL: Los Ratones vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.2

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.3

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.64

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

No position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$7.22

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$11.53

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.57

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Los Ratones position

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.28

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$101.1

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$104.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.8% 101.01 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 1,136.36 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.1% 49.72 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 789.47 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.7% 119.76 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.1% 165.75 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 26% 50 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Yes 39% 30 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 17% 75.17 shares
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Yes 13.1% 72.41 shares
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Yes 49.7% 60.4 shares
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

No 58.3% 51.47 shares