Billy2025

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $7.83K
Potential payout: $78.68K
Potential profit: $70.86K
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: $5.04K

Yes position

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $506.25
Potential payout: $67.5K
Potential profit: $66.99K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $6.34

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $441.82
Potential payout: $58.91K
Potential profit: $58.47K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$503.79

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $922.79
Potential payout: $31.28K
Potential profit: $30.36K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $184.12

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $285.11
Potential payout: $22.81K
Potential profit: $22.52K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$407.8

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $21.61K
Potential profit: $20.52K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $576.47

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $8.87K
Potential payout: $8.94K
Potential profit: $67.06
User PnL: $1.82K

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $3.77K
Potential payout: $4.62K
Potential profit: $855.89
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $283.06

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.23K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $155.13
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $331.42

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $333.51
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $362.86

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $218.89
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $57.22

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $151.81
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $546.22

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $342.31
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $213.66

Yes position

Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$575.35

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $665.62
Potential payout: $787.71
Potential profit: $122.1
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $65.62

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $580.54
Potential payout: $667.29
Potential profit: $86.75
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $30.54

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $518.89
Potential payout: $625.16
Potential profit: $106.28
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $18.89

Yes position

Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $142.92
Potential payout: $501.67
Potential profit: $358.74
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $72.93

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $428.57
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $47.62
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $28.57

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $184.58
Potential payout: $185.79
Potential profit: $1.21
User PnL: $84.58

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.65
Potential profit: $155.65
User PnL: -$80

Oilers position

NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.07
Potential profit: $136.07
User PnL: -$99.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31K

No position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

No position

Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

No position

Liberals win majority in Canadian election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $896.09

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $418.78

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Maryland US Senate Election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $387.64

No position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.45

Yes position

Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.8

No position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.86

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.57

Yes position

Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.07

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.93

Yes position

Will Harris win Colorado by 8+ points?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.38

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.72

Yes position

Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

Ends Apr 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.14

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.93

No position

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.18

Yes position

Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.56

Yes position

Will Democrats win five elections in Nov?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.74

Habs position

NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.24

Yes position

Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.46

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.55

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?