No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $997.35
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $92.65
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $32.5
Polymarket Trader
escaladh
0xd784c59dd59a28a6b9b5a993e4f00b066624b455
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.9K
- Realized PnL
- $150.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $245.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $23.13
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $188.3
- Potential payout
- $191.07
- Potential profit
- $2.77
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $31.61
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $114.94
- Potential payout
- $127
- Potential profit
- $12.06
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $10.19
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $37.89
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $15.11
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $42.46
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $2.54
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $35.51
- Potential payout
- $35.51
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $7.47
No position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $29.96
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $29.88
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $29.93
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $29.96
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $23.9
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $3.11
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $23.22
- Potential payout
- $23.4
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $5.67
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $19.23
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$1.65
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.55
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $3.18
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $2.82
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.1%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $3.45
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.94
No position
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
No position
No US strike on Syria in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes 93% 21.51 shares
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes 73% 10 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No 99.1% 10 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No 98.6% 15 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 86% 10 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 96.2% 10 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 97% 20 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 150 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?No 95.5% 60 shares
- Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 99.9% 25 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 250 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 75 shares