Polymarket Trader

0xd787...7c12

0xd78722b6369e63973ec4b680eae115663d0f7c12

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $74.77
Realized PnL: $594.54
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $496.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $260.63
Potential profit: $259.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $236.66
Potential profit: $235.83
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$6.17

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $145.69
Potential profit: $145.04
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5.34

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $10.32
Potential payout: $121.42
Potential profit: $111.1
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$8.68

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $91.09
Potential profit: $89.41
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $8.32
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $82.59
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $3.32

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $10.11
Potential payout: $57.79
Potential profit: $47.68
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$4.89

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $38.57
Potential profit: $37.31
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $33.24
Potential profit: $32.81
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$2.57

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $27.99
Potential profit: $26.7
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $23.53
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $22.69
Potential profit: $20.76
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$4.07

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $22.1
Potential profit: $22.04
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.94

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.9
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $14.84
Potential profit: $12.61
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.77

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.66
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $11.66

No position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $2.49
Potential payout: $10.17
Potential profit: $7.68
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$1.51

No position

Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $4.46
Potential payout: $8.11
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $2.81
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.67
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $5.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5.27
Potential profit: $5.24
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $4.23
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.87

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $77.5-$80 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.8

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.61

Yes position

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.94

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.64

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.99

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.45

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.53

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.43

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.73

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.1

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.08

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.71

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.34

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.14

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.77

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.45

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.39

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.59

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.3

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.18

No position

S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 8.5% 11.76 shares
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 18.5% 5.41 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 8.5% 11.76 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 3.7% 27.03 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 15% 20 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 46% 22.72 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?

Up 7.9% 12.66 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?

Down 89% 3.57 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?

Down 56% 3.57 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

Down 40% 5 shares
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

No 45% 2.22 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 42% 11.9 shares