Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $322.83
- Potential profit
- $322.83
- User PnL
- -$300
Polymarket Trader
RileyQuinn
0xd787bf82d39f3d6a5eebe2921cac4a4a62137838
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.4
- Realized PnL
- $90.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.47
- Potential profit
- $128.47
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.39
- Potential profit
- $126.39
- User PnL
- -$112.49
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $50.4
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $9.6
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$21.9
No position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.4
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.71
No position
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
No position
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes 76.3% 29.99 shares
- Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No 97.4% 30 shares
- Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No 73% 6.4 shares
- Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?No 48% 10.42 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?No 33% 15.15 shares
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?No 18% 27.78 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes 92.1% 100 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes 97.4% 54.94 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes 89% 70.21 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Yes 92.9% 322.83 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?No 13.3% 75 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Yes 3.9% 128.47 shares