Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5.36
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $708.93
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.64
Polymarket Trader
0xD798Dd71419AC9f8a27241A9C26144419089669f-1761482987623
0xd798dd71419ac9f8a27241a9c26144419089669f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.36
- Realized PnL
- $1.77K
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $357.14
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.45
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.64
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 15+ times during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
76ers position
Pistons vs. 76ers
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.55
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$174.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes 18% 27.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 1.4% 714.29 shares
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Yes 8% 125 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Yes 10.9% 36.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 24% 208.33 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Yes 7.6% 1,973.32 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Yes 5.6% 1,400 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Yes 7% 1,428.57 shares
- Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?Yes 0.1% 20,000 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?Yes 59.3% 25 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 99.1% 609.11 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 98.9% 840.33 shares