Polymarket Trader

OswaldMcFurther

0xd79af9cca8541d9fb7eb39935b0586d7a3667e51

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.79K
Realized PnL: -$253.88
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 85.8%
Current value: $13.82K
Potential payout: $16.12K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $115.54

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.9%
Current value: $3.59K
Potential payout: $14.43K
Potential profit: $10.83K
Multiplier: 4.02x
User PnL: -$239.18

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $5.73K
Potential payout: $11.12K
Potential profit: $5.39K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $278.29

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.83K
Potential profit: $10.83K
User PnL: -$129.99

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $5.57K
Potential payout: $6.6K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $88.21

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $70.41
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.93K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $13.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $928.72
Potential profit: $928.72
User PnL: -$9.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.72
Potential profit: $232.72
User PnL: -$9.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.34
Potential profit: $100.34
User PnL: -$20.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.53
Potential profit: $90.53
User PnL: -$14.79

Rafael Jodar position

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $59.52
User PnL: -$25

Novak Djokovic position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.34
Potential profit: $39.34
User PnL: -$31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.64

Yes position

Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.63

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.91

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $12.36

No position

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $7.51

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.42

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$13.47

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.88

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$41.63

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$164.99

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$271.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 88% 1,377.57 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 83.1% 741.72 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 2,996.32 shares
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 10,833.33 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 83.3% 2.4 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 83.6% 5,685.69 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 82.6% 2.42 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 81.9% 3,647.74 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 81% 92.59 shares
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 11.5% 673.3 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 81% 102.05 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Jakub Mensik 99.9% 74.93 shares