Yes position
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $75.86
- Potential profit
- $74.84
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$18.98
Polymarket Trader
scravenly
0xd7aecaaba57cbe5145fce7fc2e2eb45412d05aec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.84
- Realized PnL
- -$10.02
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.77
- Potential profit
- $30.77
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.3%
- Current value
- $25.6
- Potential payout
- $28.34
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $24.53
- Potential payout
- $24.6
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $4.53
No position
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $20.78
- Potential payout
- $22.71
- Potential profit
- $1.93
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $19.91
- Potential payout
- $21.6
- Potential profit
- $1.68
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 88.2% 28.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETUp 11% 32.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETUp 37% 67.57 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes 81% 123.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETDown 82% 30.49 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp 95% 112.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp 89% 112.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETUp 75% 33.33 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?No 58% 34.48 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp 65% 38.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp 18.9% 132.39 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.6% 21.6 shares