Polymarket Trader

austin.209ab

0xd7b3a21ed4f8a5b5d88b129b427c37e3c7704098

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.14
Realized PnL: $116.58
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $128.13
Potential profit: $127.8
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$25

Novak Djokovic position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $7.06
Potential payout: $34.01
Potential profit: $26.96
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.66
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $28.59
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.34

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $13.53
Potential payout: $31.1
Potential profit: $17.57
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$6.47

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.32
Potential profit: $27.32
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Solana reach $100 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.23
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $19.77
Potential profit: $19.63
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $3.92
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $12.75
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$10

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.39
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.19

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.86

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.61

Knicks position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.86

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Thunder position

Lakers vs. Thunder

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 27-May 3?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Up 30% 83.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Up 71% 35.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Up 61% 40.98 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 128.13 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 5.1% 19.77 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.7% 34.01 shares
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

Canadiens 31% 16.13 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?

Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares