Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $6.86
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $30.14
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Polymarket Trader
0xd7c0...8247
0xd7c0c9ece410a0d2c63d8641490a58500ad28247
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $46.53
- Realized PnL
- -$4.31
- Win rate
- 18.2%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $5.41
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $29.59
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $23
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $16.56
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $10.79
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.73
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $6.3
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $6.27
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.41
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.6%
- Current value
- $3.68
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.1%
- Multiplier
- 3.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 11 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 91% 7 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 22% 10 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 16% 7 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 17% 14 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 43.7% 5 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 45.6% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 88.3% 6 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 13.7% 11 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 8.5% 24 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 90% 6 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 91% 7 shares