Polymarket Trader

692769

0xd7e068dcf91bf3ba1d0c4101d005ca25414bc1bb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $166.05
Realized PnL: $2.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $51.68
Potential payout: $224.69
Potential profit: $173.01
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$40.93

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $3.94
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $188.37
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.3%
Current value: $43.25
Potential payout: $122.7
Potential profit: $79.45
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $23.25

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $11.69
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $104.59
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$8.31

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$83.9

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $54.8
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $25.2
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $20.31
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$2.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495.78

No position

Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.62

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.6

Yes position

Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.45

No position

Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.77

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.36

Yes position

Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Under position

Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 1.5

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.6

No position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.46

No position

Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.72

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.02

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.1

Yes position

Guatemala vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.77

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.01

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.95

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.63

No position

Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.5

Under position

Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.62

Under position

Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.55

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.03

Under position

Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.4

Over position

Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?

Yes 15% 38 shares
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?

Yes 0.2% 50 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

52.2% 18.86 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 16.7% 21 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 99% 60 shares
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 AND Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 2.5 AND Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5

51.9% 19.27 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 AND Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

54.9% 18.21 shares
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 AND Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

56.8% 17.6 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5 AND Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

20.1% 45.85 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5

Over 32% 20 shares
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5

Over 30% 15 shares
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 32% 11.22 shares