Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Ends Aug 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $27.79
- Potential payout
- $427.5
- Potential profit
- $399.72
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Polymarket Trader
link888
0xd7ee37b936e04ff6c54b774f69f234ef7a03c599
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.38K
- Realized PnL
- $32.64
- Win rate
- 35%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $357.99
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $42
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $220.49
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $79.5
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $262.52
- Potential payout
- $268.01
- Potential profit
- $5.49
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $54.84
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $113.53
- Potential payout
- $200.98
- Potential profit
- $87.45
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.03
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $179
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $27
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $93
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $26.88
- Potential payout
- $101.44
- Potential profit
- $74.56
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $80.5
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $95.9
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $99.4
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- User PnL
- $65.4
No position
Over $6M committed to the Squid public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $59.99
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Y
Yes position
Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Storytime with the Second Lady Podcast?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3.36
No position
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $4.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.6
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $308
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $170.59
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $146.74
Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- $81.8
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $79.9
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $78
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $16.44
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
N
No position
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$12.46
Y
Yes position
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$12.48
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$12.71
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$27.38
Yes position
Over $6M committed to the Squid public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$28.2
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$30
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$34
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$66
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$79.89
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$139.88
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$143.73
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Ends Aug 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$260.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 91% 400 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 8% 1,999 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No 80% 100 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 27.5% 200 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No 93.7% 244 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No 93% 89 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes 89.9% 200 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 93% 200 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No 93.3% 98 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No 93.6% 168 shares
- Over $6M committed to the Squid public sale?Yes 97% 60 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes 57.5% 191.05 shares