Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $329.45
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- -$32.38
Polymarket Trader
ClearMove
0xd7f15d5ebda09853ee778019d5513fca4bef73cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.91K
- Realized PnL
- $61.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $157.94
- Potential payout
- $2.55K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- Multiplier
- 16.13x
- User PnL
- -$381.96
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $2.49K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $13.75
- User PnL
- $120.66
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $309.7
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- Multiplier
- 6.13x
- User PnL
- -$903.59
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $121.2
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$201.03
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$179.45
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$139.5
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$104.87
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $51.14
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$230.91
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $72
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$161.3
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $61.03
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $956.07
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$194.31
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $991.5
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$121.5
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $958.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $41.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $20.5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $95
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $905
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $994.49
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$64.5
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $10.35
- Potential payout
- $899.98
- Potential profit
- $889.63
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$114.65
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $789.99
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.24
- Potential payout
- $748.21
- Potential profit
- $742.97
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$22.91
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $721.34
- Potential profit
- $719.53
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$155.87
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $157.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $542.5
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$84.5
Yes position
Megaquake by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $21.64
- Potential payout
- $698.07
- Potential profit
- $676.43
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$94.53
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $620
- Potential profit
- $617.83
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$72.23
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $619.88
- Potential profit
- $619.88
- User PnL
- -$68.19
Yes position
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $38.5
- Potential payout
- $549.99
- Potential profit
- $511.49
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.91K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71K
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Monday?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46K
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91K
Yes position
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Yes position
Megaquake before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $937.76
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $883.1
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $871.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 22% 300 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 60.1% 100 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 65% 122.97 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes 26% 1,066.03 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Yes 14% 499.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Yes 14% 300 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes 14% 740.65 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 5.2% 1,424.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 98% 262.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 29% 500 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes 24% 100 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 31% 300 shares