Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $98.89
- Potential payout
- $534.53
- Potential profit
- $435.64
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$38.11
Polymarket Trader
Nivoh12
0xd7f821c04318b84a5906caa6623224be46dfb9f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $134.23
- Realized PnL
- $601.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $332.57
- Potential profit
- $332.57
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $230.18
- Potential profit
- $228.45
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$13.27
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.33
- Potential profit
- $209.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.43
- Potential profit
- $130.43
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.06
- Potential profit
- $125.06
- User PnL
- -$25.01
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.88
- Potential profit
- $117.88
- User PnL
- -$3.89
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $117.22
- Potential profit
- $116.52
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.3
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $97.65
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.61
Yes position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $86.21
- Potential profit
- $86.03
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.83
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $3.37
- Potential payout
- $81.17
- Potential profit
- $77.8
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $27.91
- Potential payout
- $80.93
- Potential profit
- $53.02
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $7.91
Yes position
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $48.41
- Potential profit
- $47.35
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$22.93
Yes position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.22
- Potential profit
- $39.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.78
- Potential profit
- $23.78
- User PnL
- -$13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $147.48
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.11
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.7
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.49
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.56
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.87
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.72
No position
Will Solana reach $100 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.34
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.14
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.23
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.05
No position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.8
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.12
Yes position
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.77
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.42
No position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.88
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.85
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.77
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.04
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $7.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes 24.8% 68.44 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes 24.8% 60.44 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes 23.2% 86.12 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes 21% 71.48 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes 19.8% 100.99 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No 6.2% 81.17 shares
- Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Yes 24.7% 80.93 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?Yes 6% 83.33 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes 13% 38.46 shares
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 99.9% 54.54 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 10.2% 98.04 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Yes 12% 25 shares