No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $1.82K
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $679.96
Polymarket Trader
0xD7Fbf31ebc53388B40D13d53Bb8F87C7DC253108-1730226134275
0xd7fbf31ebc53388b40d13d53bb8f87c7dc253108
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.82K
- Realized PnL
- $1.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.05
- Potential profit
- $19.05
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.34
- Potential profit
- $7.34
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $685.55
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.42
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $127.7
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.14
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.16
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.63
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.56
Yes position
Will Tesla dip to $375 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.67
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Yes position
Will Amazon dip to $200 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 35.7% 3,190.62 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 11% 20.76 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 94% 1,246.46 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 39% 1,246.46 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?Yes 68.1% 7.34 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 16% 25 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of March?Yes 91.2% 5.48 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 98.8% 4.05 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 21% 19.05 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?Yes 38% 13.16 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of March 2026?Yes 84% 14.29 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?Yes 74.5% 20.13 shares