Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $37.12
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $114.39
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$12.88
Polymarket Trader
0xd813...bf98
0xd813cd9b2902eefc92814981c47afef39302bf98
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $46.07
- Realized PnL
- $15.68
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Megaquake by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $52.78
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $3.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.91
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Megaquake by July 31?Yes 8.1% 61.73 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes 33% 151.52 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 13% 153.84 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 13% 153.85 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.6% 67.38 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.8% 67.39 shares
- No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?Yes 12.6% 42.27 shares
- No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?Yes 23.7% 42.27 shares
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?Yes 44% 40.91 shares
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes 84% 22.77 shares
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes 84% 10.87 shares
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes 42% 11.9 shares