Polymarket Trader

soilui

0xd8190e102eed48f18feea8af38f091ce1e6d0659

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.22
Realized PnL: $5.2
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $4.78
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Mets position

Mets vs. Orioles

Ends Jul 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: -$1

Rangers position

Rangers vs. Angels

Ends Jul 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $1.32
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $1.28
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Cubs position

Cubs vs. Twins

Ends Jul 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Sonego position

Open de Moselle: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Altmaier

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Earthquake 7.0 or above before May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will PAOK beat Galatasaray?

Ends Sep 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Republika Srpska declares independence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the Firefly Lander Successfully Land on the Moon on Sunday?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

U.S. forces in Gaza before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

TikTok banned in the US in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

4+ Trump vs. Harris debates before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will one SpaceX Starship launch successfully reach outer space in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Starlink gets FAA contract before May?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?

No 99.7% 585 shares
Open de Moselle: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Altmaier

Sonego 62% 3.23 shares
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?

Yes 99.6% 3.01 shares
Will Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Yes 0.1% 4,000 shares
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?

No 99.8% 589.78 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?

No 96% 1.04 shares
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?

No 83% 1.2 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

No 86% 1.16 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

Yes 78% 1.28 shares
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?

No 97.2% 2.19 shares
Cubs vs. Twins

Cubs 55% 3.64 shares
Mets vs. Orioles

Mets 56% 3.57 shares