Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $4.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.6
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Polymarket Trader
0xd823721597A464008050819ECC2d6C2c43E512fE-1782111812111
0xd823721597a464008050819ecc2d6c2c43e512fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $124.12
- Realized PnL
- $17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.18
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.28
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $9.68
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $5.32
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.55
N
No position
Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $12.23
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.6%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $10.26
- Multiplier
- 3.16x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $10.58
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $3.07
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $11.93
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $9.83
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $4.43
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $10.58
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $5.78
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $9.23
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.43
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
No position
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $10.05
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $9.45
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $9.83
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $5.47
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $12.83
- Potential profit
- $11.49
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $11.34
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $11.49
- Potential payout
- $12.42
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $5.91
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.05
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.8%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.33
- Multiplier
- 2.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.59
N
No position
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.37
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released before August 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 in July?No 95% 5 shares
- Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $30B by December 31?No 85% 5 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 35% 5 shares
- Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?No 82% 5 shares
- Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No 88% 5 shares
- Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 25% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No 83% 5 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 77% 5 shares
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?No 64% 7.81 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?No 36% 5 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 65% 5 shares
- SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Yes 94.2% 15 shares