Polymarket Trader

ichris

0xd824b8bf5805302e0d477aca87dd6c15effb528b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $919.14
Realized PnL: $4.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $324.72
Potential payout: $990
Potential profit: $665.28
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: -$480.15

No position

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $517.31
Potential payout: $578
Potential profit: $60.69
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $49.13

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $76.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $223.5
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$25.5

Yes position

Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.39
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$1.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $274.96

Yes position

Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $265.28

Yes position

Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.71

Yes position

Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.69

No position

Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $800M and $900M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.55

No position

Will Millonarios FC vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.72

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $158.78

Under position

Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.5

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.5

No position

Will La Jumpa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.73

No position

Will Trump say "Putin" during events with Rutte?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.52

Yes position

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.4

Yes position

Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.14

Yes position

Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.7

No position

Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.1

Yes position

Will "Prowler" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.89

No position

Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.79

No position

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $48.5

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $43.76

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $32.78

Yes position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.45

Yes position

Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30

Under position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 81% 578 shares
Will Millonarios FC vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?

No 74% 622 shares
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?

No 89% 31 shares
Will North West release an album by December 31?

No 25% 211 shares
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 6 shares
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Yes 15% 40 shares
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?

No 88% 285 shares
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?

No 87% 316 shares
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5

Under 75% 590 shares
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?

No 46% 123 shares
Databricks IPO before 2027?

No 82% 336 shares
Databricks IPO before 2027?

No 82% 329 shares