Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.94K
- Potential profit
- $3.94K
- User PnL
- -$12
Polymarket Trader
Mirabellene
0xd8270a77f7821e027157af612e7baf9da38fe83b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.59
- Realized PnL
- -$33.37
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.68
- Potential profit
- $27.68
- User PnL
- -$9.69
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $14.59
- Potential payout
- $15.59
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.09
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$21.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96.2% 15.59 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes 97.4% 10.27 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98.7% 51.69 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 89% 51.69 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?Yes 0.3% 3,942.28 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Yes 52% 115.23 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Yes 70.9% 115.24 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 55% 150.74 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 67% 150.75 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 85% 119.76 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 86% 119.77 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No 79% 6.33 shares