Polymarket Trader

LDSIADAS

0xd830027529b0baca2a52fd8a4dee43d366a9a592

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.12K
Realized PnL: $277.96K
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87K
Potential profit: $18.87K
User PnL: -$9.44K

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $936.94
Potential payout: $992
Potential profit: $55.06
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $187.33
Potential payout: $295
Potential profit: $107.68
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$4.43

Iowa State Cyclones position

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215.12
Potential profit: $215.12
User PnL: -$135.52

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Kings

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.75
Potential profit: $46.75
User PnL: -$38.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 12AM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.64K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.72K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 1AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.09K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 2AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.41K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.35K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10AM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.19K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5AM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.28K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.25

Over position

Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $364.32

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.22

Avalanche position

Flames vs. Avalanche

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

76ers position

76ers vs. Pacers

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$210

Yes position

Will the RSF capture El Obeid by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$275

No position

Will the RSF capture El Obeid by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$374

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$430

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

No 98.5% 58.94 shares
Warriors vs. Kings

Warriors 82% 46.75 shares
76ers vs. Pacers

76ers 92% 53.87 shares
Flames vs. Avalanche

Avalanche 75% 18 shares
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

No 66.7% 1,241 shares
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Iowa State Cyclones 63% 215.12 shares
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?

No 93% 1,000 shares
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?

Yes 71% 1,000 shares
Bitcoin ETF Flows on February 2?

Positive 10% 800 shares
Bitcoin ETF Flows on February 2?

Positive 88% 500 shares
Bitcoin ETF Flows on February 2?

Positive 88% 100 shares
Bitcoin ETF Flows on February 2?

Positive 88% 100 shares