Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $109.53
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $5.35
Polymarket Trader
Son28
0xd83c79fa84b02781d595b5ef83b7edc40f8e34f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $155.61
- Realized PnL
- $2.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $46.07
- Potential payout
- $511.92
- Potential profit
- $465.84
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$5.12
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.97
- Potential profit
- $149.97
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.01
- Potential profit
- $120.01
- User PnL
- -$24.24
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Thunder
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $66
- User PnL
- -$36.3
Charles Johnson position
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2
Michael Chandler position
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Joaquin Buckley position
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$21.4
Melquizael Costa position
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.08
- Potential profit
- $27.08
- User PnL
- -$13
Edmen Shahbazyan position
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $26
- User PnL
- -$14.01
No position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.95
- Potential profit
- $22.95
- User PnL
- -$10
Jeremy Stephens position
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
Santiago Luna position
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$16.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.19
- Potential profit
- $21.19
- User PnL
- -$10.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.22
- Potential profit
- $20.22
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$8.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.69
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $372.38
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $327.97
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $262.64
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $186.5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $158.75
Yes position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $141.66
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.54
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $97.13
Yes position
Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.7
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.65
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.42
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.41
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.88
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.19
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.01
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.3
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.25
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.06
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes 10% 511.91 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 8.3% 607.34 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 9.1% 35.85 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 9.3% 33.86 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes 28% 119.36 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 9.9% 114.64 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes 29% 118 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes 29% 92 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes 29% 38 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes 29% 16 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes 29% 16 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes 29% 60 shares