Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $212.42
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $844.41
- Multiplier
- 4.98x
- User PnL
- $12.42
Polymarket Trader
0xD83fFc4B9C3196EdFF2C07a88E5384CE129b49d8-1776080523265
0xd83ffc4b9c3196edff2c07a88e5384ce129b49d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $324.24
- Realized PnL
- -$954.81
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $551.34
- Potential profit
- $551.34
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $32.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $467.5
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$67.5
Yes position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $79.32
- Potential payout
- $268.88
- Potential profit
- $189.56
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$20.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$154.81
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 7% 645.51 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 500 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Yes 27% 331.44 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.9% 1,056.83 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 42% 238.1 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 48.6% 1,029.74 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 37.2% 268.88 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No 54.4% 551.34 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 31% 645.52 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes 11.1% 901 shares