Polymarket Trader

Ronaldo2win

0xd8474df65bfc771faa0459ce6e32b83b5b0dae3a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.75K
Realized PnL: $102.27
Win rate: 12.5%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $3.14K
Potential payout: $250.82K
Potential profit: $247.68K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $199.15

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $4.49K
Potential payout: $78.02K
Potential profit: $73.53K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$1.01K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $91.98
Potential payout: $26.28K
Potential profit: $26.19K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$119.52

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $19.54
Potential payout: $386.99
Potential profit: $367.45
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $4.84

Yes position

Will Diana Shnaider be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $320.55
Potential profit: $318.47
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$17.92

Yes position

Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $165.25
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $114.65
Potential profit: $109.95
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$5.62

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $2.74
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.26
Multiplier: 7.30x
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.46
Potential profit: $15.46
User PnL: -$1.7

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.76
Potential profit: $14.76
User PnL: -$7.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.69
Potential profit: $11.69
User PnL: -$3.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Diana Shnaider position

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.4

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.94

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.84

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.84

Diana Shnaider position

Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Multiplier: 9.01x
User PnL: -$46

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$102.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Yes 14.8% 34 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska

Diana Shnaider 31% 6.45 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska

Diana Shnaider 63% 63.49 shares
Will Diana Shnaider be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes 6.2% 320.55 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider

Diana Shnaider 99.9% 361.35 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider

Diana Shnaider 14% 361.36 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 44% 11 shares
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

No 10% 14 shares
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

No 31% 14 shares
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
Thunder vs. Spurs

Spurs 54% 11.06 shares