Polymarket Trader

0xd851...64d7

0xd8514b628363e6420313d1d1a45c0705048964d7

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $200.5
Realized PnL: $299.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $7.26
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $278.46
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $7.34
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $153.95
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$2.66

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $8.43
Potential payout: $149.25
Potential profit: $140.82
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$1.57

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $104.06
Potential payout: $109.65
Potential profit: $5.59
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Current value: $18.2
Potential payout: $103.09
Potential profit: $84.9
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: $8.2

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $9.67
Potential payout: $94.34
Potential profit: $84.67
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $7.27
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $85.32
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $87.72
Potential profit: $83.11
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $8.96
Potential payout: $71.94
Potential profit: $62.99
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $29.33
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $9.08
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $7.58
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $9.65
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $4.44
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Off Target" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $6.64
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$3.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.4

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.16

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.71

Over position

Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.13

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.96

Under position

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.41

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Under position

Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.06

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.94

Under position

Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.68

Over position

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.28

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91

Over position

Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Yes position

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.22

Under position

Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

Under position

France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

Diego Lopes position

UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.46

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Real Madrid" during the Uruguay vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 61.5% 16.12 shares
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5

Over 99.9% 49.18 shares
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 18.96 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 20% 14.28 shares
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 58% 18.97 shares
Will the announcers say "Real Madrid" during the Uruguay vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 99.2% 7.57 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 35% 14.29 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5

Under 99.9% 14.12 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 99.9% 438.83 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 98.9% 438.83 shares
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5

Over 99.9% 7.46 shares