No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $4.8
Polymarket Trader
bellatrixjazmin8741
0xd86906ee9a809fc39a41dfdfb063b67385c3cce8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $15.12
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 67% 71 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 27% 71 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 27% 153 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 49% 65 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 46 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 90% 46 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.6% 41 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 67% 53 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 67% 53 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 5.5% 19 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 94.5% 40 shares
- Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 98.8% 40 shares