Polymarket Trader

0xd877d4ad527a99FB9fE0C6a39a2f0f5F21F0c974-1775699351873

0xd877d4ad527a99fb9fe0c6a39a2f0f5f21f0c974

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $939.14
Realized PnL: $346
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $768.67
Potential payout: $3.69K
Potential profit: $2.92K
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $436.87

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $32.88
Potential payout: $3.46K
Potential profit: $3.43K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$12.11

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $33.57
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $3.57

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $37.03
Potential payout: $937.5
Potential profit: $900.47
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$22.97

Yes position

Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.34
Potential profit: $833.34
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $7.35
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $580.88
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$2.65

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $31.39
Potential payout: $565.56
Potential profit: $534.18
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$38.61

Yes position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $3.83
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $329.5
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$16.17

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.22
Potential profit: $312.22
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $24.4
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $213.69
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.27
Potential profit: $147.27
User PnL: -$32.01

Yes position

Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.43
Potential profit: $133.43
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.14
Potential profit: $107.14
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.96

Yes position

Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.55

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.03

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98

No position

Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.47

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.55

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$32.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 16,250 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.6% 238.1 shares
Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?

No 8% 250 shares
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.4% 937.5 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 1,428.57 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 979.99 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

Yes 1.6% 1,052.63 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 588.24 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 3,461.54 shares
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 16,250 shares
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?

Yes 37.5% 133.42 shares