No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $90.74
- Potential payout
- $96.69
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.46
Polymarket Trader
cfgt4
0xd883fef6ef15687543a708abbee6e95a3d40429a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.74
- Realized PnL
- $144.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.73
- Potential profit
- $92.73
- User PnL
- -$67.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.99
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.74
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.1
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2100 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 96% 79.29 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 94.4% 78.65 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 93% 72.53 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes 98.9% 51.16 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?No 90.1% 46.69 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?No 96.5% 6 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?No 98.6% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?No 95.1% 10 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $2100 in July?No 99.9% 62.3 shares
- Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes 90.5% 62.24 shares
- Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 99.1% 183.48 shares
- Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 73% 188.51 shares