Yes position
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $8.67
- Potential profit
- $4.33
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Polymarket Trader
0xD894bd2B1906717B2FEe13710d48044020CFe9fb-1761175150760
0xd894bd2b1906717b2fee13710d48044020cfe9fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.69
- Realized PnL
- $0.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $4.02
- Potential profit
- $3.67
- Multiplier
- 11.43x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 51% 1.96 shares
- Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 60% 8.67 shares
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 97% 1.03 shares
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 97% 1.03 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes 95.4% 9.47 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes 95% 9.47 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes 15.4% 6.49 shares