No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $2.67K
- Potential payout
- $6.28K
- Potential profit
- $3.61K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$330.6
Polymarket Trader
charliefloydstein
@100xYan
0xd8a0b6d3721e3e676febb95919167466e6542c5a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.14K
- Realized PnL
- $14.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.7%
- Current value
- $4.61K
- Potential payout
- $5.08K
- Potential profit
- $472.25
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$409.05
N
No position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.7K
- User PnL
- -$3.4K
Mexico position
Spread: Mexico (-5.5)
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $860.75
- Potential payout
- $974.8
- Potential profit
- $114.05
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$80.28
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 DR Congo?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25K
No position
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $893.81
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $888.89
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $774.55
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $717.39
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $712.88
No position
Over $400M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $657
No position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528.23
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.34
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.34
No position
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.73
No position
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.83
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $342.18
No position
Will RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.88
No position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $326.93
No position
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.17
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.23
Yes position
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.33
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.14
No position
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.13
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid not launch a token in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $91.79
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 99.1% 1,136.36 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 88% 1,136.36 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 47.8% 6,280.93 shares
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No 92.6% 2,700.91 shares
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 1.5Under 90% 1,000 shares
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 0 South Africa?Yes 9.2% 1,666.66 shares
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreYes 49% 200 shares
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 0 South Africa?Yes 6% 1,666.67 shares
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreYes 50% 200 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 99.8% 10,287.58 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 17% 555.55 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 59% 941.61 shares