Polymarket Trader

rwcoffee

0xd8c18c730ec4ec15d776c15cf2e4a38bca0916c0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.48K
Realized PnL: $8.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $121.17
Potential payout: $4.77K
Potential profit: $4.65K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$28.82

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $2.37K
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $468.24
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $202.11

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$1.05K

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $201
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $45.24

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $110.57
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $167.98

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $973.96
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $206.6
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $43.97

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $82.08
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$117.92

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$231.99

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $965.19
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $82.22
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $264.07

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $667.77
Potential payout: $947.19
Potential profit: $279.42
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $2.78

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $358.25
Potential payout: $918.59
Potential profit: $560.34
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$151.74

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $385.96
Potential payout: $804.09
Potential profit: $418.12
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$244.04

No position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $169.81
Potential payout: $722.61
Potential profit: $552.79
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$260.18

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $357.26
Potential payout: $721.74
Potential profit: $364.48
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$64.74

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $542.06
Potential payout: $690.52
Potential profit: $148.46
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $152.06

No position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $202.55
Potential payout: $687.78
Potential profit: $485.23
Multiplier: 3.40x
User PnL: -$212.45

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $527.05
Potential payout: $654.72
Potential profit: $127.67
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $42.05

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $186.51
Potential payout: $654.67
Potential profit: $468.15
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$228.48

No position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $125.12
Potential payout: $463.42
Potential profit: $338.3
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$174.87

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 63.2%
Current value: $277.67
Potential payout: $439.08
Potential profit: $161.4
Multiplier: 1.58x
User PnL: -$74.33

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $338.48
Potential payout: $378.19
Potential profit: $39.71
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $38.48

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $112.22
Potential payout: $330.04
Potential profit: $217.83
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$37.78

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $270.27
Potential payout: $312.45
Potential profit: $42.18
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $20.27

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $277.78
Potential payout: $303.58
Potential profit: $25.8
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $61.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $617.26

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $513.58

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $387.59

Yes position

Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $379.83

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.04

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.49

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.16

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.59

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.01

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.25

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.26

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $195.36

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $195.18

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.37

Yes position

Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $181.11

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.96

No position

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.84

Yes position

Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.68

No position

Will the Green Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.8

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $102

No position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $370 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.78

Yes position

Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 81% 12.35 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 64.3% 7.78 shares
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Yes 86% 46.51 shares
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in June?

No 85.9% 46.59 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 73% 54.79 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 81% 61.73 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 63% 47.62 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?

No 83% 48.19 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 64.7% 154.56 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

No 83.5% 11.98 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 73% 27.4 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 81% 123.46 shares