Polymarket Trader

0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848

0xd8c4d45000b7976d897ab79c21780e46faaa848d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.21K
Realized PnL: $174.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $15.08
Potential payout: $30.17K
Potential profit: $30.15K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$183.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $29.98K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$159.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.13
Potential payout: $22.27K
Potential profit: $22.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$139.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $10.88
Potential payout: $21.75K
Potential profit: $21.74K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $32.4
Potential payout: $21.6K
Potential profit: $21.57K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$119.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $10.49
Potential payout: $20.97K
Potential profit: $20.96K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$136.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $18K
Potential profit: $17.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$121.37

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.9%
Current value: $4.47K
Potential payout: $18K
Potential profit: $13.53K
Multiplier: 4.02x
User PnL: -$4.53K

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 75.1%
Current value: $13.53K
Potential payout: $18K
Potential profit: $4.47K
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $4.53K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $8.71
Potential payout: $17.41K
Potential profit: $17.4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$125.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $15.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$120.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.67
Potential payout: $15.33K
Potential profit: $15.33K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$122.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $20.33
Potential payout: $13.55K
Potential profit: $13.53K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$129.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $12.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $12.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$118.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $12.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.23K
Potential profit: $9.23K
User PnL: -$140.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.98K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$114.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.45K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.96K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.08K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.38K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.93K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.74K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.51K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.37K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.06K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.02K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 320–334 times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 1,645.47 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 800 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 4,555.39 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 55% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 1,119.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 3,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 260 shares
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 2,381 shares