Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $6.32K
- Potential payout
- $14.88K
- Potential profit
- $8.55K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$717.04
Polymarket Trader
NihilisticMeerkat
0xd8cae792b3d84d6888080401423e973337287229
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.65K
- Realized PnL
- $145.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $7.37K
- Potential payout
- $9.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.33K
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $657.6
- Potential payout
- $6.26K
- Potential profit
- $5.61K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$344.46
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $1.74K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $465
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.44K
Yes position
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $96
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $504
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$204
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.72K
Yes position
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.17K
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.44K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83K
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.61K
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16K
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33K
Yes position
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
Yes position
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Dec 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
Vance position
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
No position
Will F-o-s-t-e-r win the Genesis Cup?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Yes position
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 0.1% 468 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 400 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 72% 468 shares
- Portugal leading at halftime?Yes 58% 517.24 shares
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Under 57% 300 shares
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Portugal 30% 200 shares
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal 54% 555.56 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 46% 1,044.77 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 1,600.59 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 1,044.78 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 40% 3,500 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No 0.3% 1,400 shares