Polymarket Trader

natto

0xd8cb518dc8479a0e3afe7489da14b40eadbe823a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $405.6
Realized PnL: -$2.53K
Win rate: 30.8%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.7%
Current value: $371.88
Potential payout: $892.86
Potential profit: $520.99
Multiplier: 2.40x
User PnL: $171.88

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.74
Potential profit: $197.74
User PnL: -$18.39

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $33.73
Potential payout: $59.7
Potential profit: $25.98
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$6.27

Yes position

Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.43
Potential profit: $13.43
User PnL: -$5.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.66

No position

Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.24

No position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Dodgers position

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.73

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$57.78

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$98.9

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$340.68

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.01K

Yes position

Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.01K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Yes 67% 59.7 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22.4% 892.86 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.5% 3,180.74 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 357.14 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.4% 3,180.75 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 10,204.08 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.8% 3,571.43 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.9% 10,204.08 shares
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Yes 35.6% 2,854.05 shares
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Yes 72% 1,400.79 shares
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?

No 96% 507.63 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Yes 1.2% 1,666.67 shares