N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.99K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- $22.57
Polymarket Trader
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935
0xd8d5289c35124b5353f5a10a28b8cc29aec38935
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $71.19K
- Realized PnL
- $39.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $7.94K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- $421.32
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $597.38
- Potential payout
- $6.19K
- Potential profit
- $5.59K
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- $188.81
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $5.93K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $71.99
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $424.88
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $119.89
- Potential payout
- $5.85K
- Potential profit
- $5.73K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $61.4
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.98K
- Potential payout
- $5.69K
- Potential profit
- $710.88
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $212.18
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $4.92K
- Potential payout
- $5.3K
- Potential profit
- $384.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $146.95
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $2.68K
- Potential payout
- $4.75K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $21.25
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$220.4
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $302.07
- Potential payout
- $4.41K
- Potential profit
- $4.11K
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- $73.09
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $4.26K
- Potential payout
- $4.4K
- Potential profit
- $138.6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $133.24
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $3.26K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $740.4
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$70.39
No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $2.48K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$239.99
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $1.74K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $200.02
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $3.72K
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $231.24
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$39.67
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $3.25K
- Potential payout
- $3.43K
- Potential profit
- $181.66
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$52.72
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $2.99K
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $408
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$143.79
No position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $2.69K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $310.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$14.32
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $2.79K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $214.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.84K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$61.54
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $2.54K
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $162.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $534.78
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $2.65K
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $45.9
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $108.96
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$162.82
Yes position
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $18.76
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$15.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38K
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $2.97K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $987
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $925.22
No position
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $913.6
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $909.96
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $845.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?No 99.1% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 42% 129.03 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 42% 300 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No 52% 162 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 94.1% 80 shares
- Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No 82% 20 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 68% 758.55 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 67% 104.37 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No 93.2% 223.53 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 79% 200 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 94.2% 150 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 67.9% 73.24 shares