Polymarket Trader

jacksam96

0xd8d5468ec132315e4209592bdc08987dc8b9c676

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $475.36
Realized PnL: $146.68
Win rate: 63.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5.64
Potential payout: $11.28K
Potential profit: $11.28K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.36

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5.64
Potential payout: $11.28K
Potential profit: $11.27K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.35

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5.64
Potential payout: $11.27K
Potential profit: $11.27K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.36

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.48K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $4.76

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.49K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.74

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.74

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $9.66
Potential payout: $9.66K
Potential profit: $9.65K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.79K
Potential profit: $8.79K
User PnL: -$235.99

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $288.47
Potential payout: $7.59K
Potential profit: $7.3K
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: $277.48

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $9.41
Potential payout: $6.27K
Potential profit: $6.26K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.58

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $70.22
Potential payout: $5.85K
Potential profit: $5.78K
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $60.23

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.43K
Potential profit: $5.43K
User PnL: -$219.99

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $22.68
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $3.22K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $15.68

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.42K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$205

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $866.43
Potential profit: $866.43
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $628.22
Potential profit: $628.22
User PnL: -$25.56

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $507.55
Potential profit: $507.55
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $478.75
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $20.25

Yes position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $353.02
Potential profit: $353.02
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.63

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.88

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.57

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

Yes position

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.77

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $1.45

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Yes 0.2% 876.34 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Yes 0.4% 280.06 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Yes 0.2% 2,363.48 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Yes 0.2% 5,852 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Yes 0.1% 7,091.32 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?

Yes 0.1% 9,660.92 shares