No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $465.66
- Potential payout
- $497.24
- Potential profit
- $31.57
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $15.66
Polymarket Trader
crazycary
0xd8d5c4ea4c40789cc215c9695a0b300f27863071
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $470.41
- Realized PnL
- $11.17K
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $6.65
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.66K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.19
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.15
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.04
No position
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.39
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.21
No position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.57
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.09
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.85
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$78.69
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.92
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$158.79
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$383.01
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$468.84
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$624.58
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.93K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.27K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.73K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 75.3% 18,400.21 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 55.2% 2,384.4 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 3,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 10,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.7% 31,109.3 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 90% 333.33 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5% 500 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 250 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 4,301.08 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 1,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.3% 5,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 10,752.69 shares