Polymarket Trader

fred1321

0xd8dc8347c59038e892ab4ff0073441a2605db4d2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $223.94
Realized PnL: $162.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2.69K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $511.11
Potential profit: $511.11
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 27.7%
Current value: $72.75
Potential payout: $263.12
Potential profit: $190.37
Multiplier: 3.62x
User PnL: $52.25

Yes position

Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $5.59
Potential payout: $174.7
Potential profit: $169.11
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $6.26
Potential payout: $162.73
Potential profit: $156.46
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$3.73

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $20.37
Potential payout: $108.63
Potential profit: $88.26
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $11.37

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $22.58
Potential payout: $106.75
Potential profit: $84.18
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $11.58

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.3%
Current value: $30.97
Potential payout: $80.97
Potential profit: $50
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $17.97

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $13.83
Potential payout: $69.34
Potential profit: $55.5
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $63.36
Potential profit: $61.62
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$3.26

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $16.65
Potential payout: $60.55
Potential profit: $43.9
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $5.65

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.4
Potential profit: $53.4
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $45.72
Potential profit: $44.69
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$2.97

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $8.19
Potential payout: $41.99
Potential profit: $33.8
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $40.9
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $38.52
Potential profit: $37.48
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.34
Potential profit: $33.34
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $28.9
Potential profit: $25.51
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $26.23
Potential profit: $21.38
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.41
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.4%
Current value: $8.66
Potential payout: $24.51
Potential profit: $15.85
Multiplier: 2.83x
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $4.66
Potential payout: $23.31
Potential profit: $18.65
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.18
Potential profit: $22.18
User PnL: -$5.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.34

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.56

Yes position

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.61

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.78

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

Yes position

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 43% 11.63 shares
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 25% 4 shares
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20% 10 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

No 20% 5 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

No 20% 5 shares
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23% 4.35 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?

20.3% 24.04 shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 8.9% 56.18 shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 29% 68.07 shares
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 28% 7.14 shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares